The Democrats Who Will Win in the 7th District

Republicans ready to ride a red wave into the Democratic stronghold of New England in November John King, a political reporter for The Daily Beast, is currently covering the midterms. This post was first…

The Democrats Who Will Win in the 7th District

Republicans ready to ride a red wave into the Democratic stronghold of New England in November

John King, a political reporter for The Daily Beast, is currently covering the midterms. This post was first published at The Daily Beast

When most Democrats in safe Republican districts say they will vote to reelect Mitt Romney on Tuesday, they are not talking about a big red district like the one in their own rear. Rather, these are the Democrats who live in the red districts that will carry them, and who will help decide this year’s midterm election in the Republican stronghold of New England.

If Democrats could sweep their red districts in 2010, it is going to be even easier this year — and especially if the party can win in an even bigger red district, like the one in New England, the New York Times writes.

In some of these districts, where Republicans have long dominated, the incumbent is nearly the same race as the one that decided the 2016 presidential election.

[The Times]

In places like Pennsylvania’s 11th District and Ohio’s 8th District, the party that won the national election is going to have a tough time running against Romney again.

In the Philadelphia suburbs, Romney held the district for years before the GOP swept Democrats into the House in 2010. Though the 2010 midterm election was dominated by Democratic victories in New York and California, it was also won by Democrats in Pennsylvania’s 12th District and Ohio’s 13th District, where Democrats have won statewide office in recent times.

In these districts, Democrats need to convince their base voters that the party is still on the rise; otherwise, they are likely to lose their majority.

The race for the 7th District in northern Virginia is different: it’s the only one of eight competitive House races with an incumbent who has not even served in Congress since 2007. It’s the only one of the eight districts in this map where the party that won the national election is about to lose its majority.

And since the 2010 midterm election was only slightly partisan for the districts here in Virginia, this is a critical year for these races.

In New Hampshire’s 2nd District, which

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